Jul 12 – 23, 2021
Online
Europe/Berlin timezone

Strongest directly observed Solar Proton Event of 23-Feb-1956: Revised reference for the cosmogenic-isotope method

Jul 15, 2021, 12:00 PM
1h 30m
07

07

Talk SH | Solar & Heliospheric Discussion

Speaker

Ilya Usoskin

Description

Solar extreme solar proton events (SPEs) form important radiation hazards for modern technological society. The strongest directly observed SPE took place on 23-Feb-1956 as an up to 5000 % increase of the count rate of ground-based neutron monitors. It was characterized by a very hard energy spectrum and strong particle fluence. On the other hand, as known from indirect proxies (cosmogenic isotopes), extreme events, 1-2 orders of magnitude stronger, occurred during the past millennia. In order to study past events, a reference scale needs to be made. The SPE of 23-Feb-1956 is often used as such a reference. Thanks to the recent developments in the methodology of SPE analysis, the spectrum of fluence of the reference event have been revisited and re-assessed with higher precision. Here we present the revision of the reference event and estimate the sensitivity of the cosmogenic-isotope method to detect extreme SPEs in the past. It is shown that the modern accuracy of the cosmogenic-isotope method to SPEs is insufficient to detect the reference event but can resolve events 3-4 times stronger. This provides a solid basis for research in the field of extreme events, both for fundamental science, namely solar and stellar physics, and practical applications, such as the risk assessments of severe space-based hazards for a modern technological society.

Keywords

solar energetic particles; solar particle events; neutron monitors

Subcategory Theoretical Methods

Primary authors

Ilya Usoskin Dr Sergey Koldobskiy (MEPhI) Dr Gennady Kovaltsov (Ioffe Physcal-Technical Institute) Dr Eugene Rozanov (PMOD) Dr Timofei Sukhodolov (PMOD/WRC) Alexander Mishev (University of Oulu) Dr Irina Mironova (St. Petersburg State University)

Presentation materials