Introductory Statistics School 2013

18 Mar 2013, 08:00 → 22 Mar 2013, 18:00 Europe/Berlin

Building 1b, SR 4 (DESY Hamburg)

Christoph Rosemann (DESY Hamburg), Gero Flucke (DESY), Olaf Behnke (DESY), Stefan Schmitt (DESY), Thomas Schoerner-Sadenius (DESY)

The school aims at providing education for the selected statistics-related tasks and methods for physics data analysis in the LHC era. It is mainly targeted at Master and young Ph.D. students.
The program comprises lectures and tutorials on the following topics:
- Parameter estimation and fitting techniques
- Hypothesis tests
- Limit determination
- Systematic uncertainties
and concludes with a practical analysis walk-through.

Poster 2013-03-Statistics-School.pdf

Monday, 18 March

1 Registration

2 Welcome

Speaker: Dr Olaf Behnke (DESY)

Slides Introduction.2013.pdf

3 Concepts of Statistics

e.g. covering definition of probability

Speaker: Allen Caldwell (Max Planck Institute)

Slides DESY.pdf

4 Virtual Machine Setup

For those who have questions concerning the virtual machine setup - extending into coffee break.

Speaker: Dr Gero Flucke (DESY)

15:15 Coffee Break

5 Probabilities

basic and multi-dimensional distributions, their properties, covariance matrix, parameter transformation, error propagation,...

Speakers: Mr Christoph Rosemann (DESY Hamburg), Dr Gero Flucke (DESY)

tutorials tutorial_prob.tar.gz

Updated Lecture Slides Probability Lecture V2 Probability_tutorial_flucke

Tuesday, 19 March

6 Parameter Estimation 1

covering chi2-fits, chi2 distributions,likelihood fits (binned/unbinned), tutorials showing bias of chi2-fitting for low statistics histograms or formulating your own chi2 (in presence of correlated data?)

Speakers: Mr Christoph Rosemann (DESY Hamburg), Dr Gero Flucke (DESY)

tutorials

• sol_straightLineSimple.pdf
• tutorial_chi2.pdf
• tutorial_chi2.tar.gz

Updated Lecture Slides Parameter Estimation Lecture 1 v2

10:30 Coffee Break

7 Parameter Estimation 2

Speakers: Christoph Rosemann (DESY Hamburg), Dr Gero Flucke (DESY)

tutorials

• straightLineFit_sol1.pdf
• straightLineFit_sol2_outliers.pdf
• straightLineFit_sol3_outliersReject.pdf

Updated Lecture Slides Parameter estimation lecture 2

12:30 Lunch

8 Hypothesis Tests 1

Speakers: Cecile Deterre, Dr Yvonne Peters (University of Goettingen and Desy)

Slides Hypotheses.pdf

15:30 Coffee Break

9 Hypothesis Tests 2

Speaker: Dr Yvonne Peters (University of Goettingen and Desy)

solutions tutorial_solution.tar.gz

tutorial tutorial(1).tar.gz

19:00 Workshop Dinner

Wednesday, 20 March

10 Parameter Estimation 3

Speakers: Christoph Rosemann (DESY Hamburg), Dr Gero Flucke (DESY)

Lecture Slides parameter_estimation-03.pdf

Tutorial Macro massPeak.C

Tutorial Slides tutorial_like.pdf tutorial_like_sol.pdf

10:30 Coffee Break

11 Parameter Estimation 4

Speakers: Christoph Rosemann (DESY Hamburg), Dr Gero Flucke (DESY)

Lecture Slides parameter_estimation-04.pdf

Tutorial Solution tutorial_chi2Corr_sol.pdf

12:30 Lunch

12 Limit Setting 1

Speaker: Stefan Schmitt (DESY)

Slides LimitStatSchool2013.pdf

Tutorial LimitStatSchool2013exercise.pdf

Tutorial ROOT macros macros.zip

15:30 Coffee Break

13 Limit Setting 2

Speaker: Stefan Schmitt (DESY)

Thursday, 21 March

14 Systematic Uncertainties

Speaker: Rainer Wanke (University of Mainz)

Slides DESY_Lecture_Mar13.pdf

10:30 Coffee Break

15 Systematic Uncertainties in Theory

Speaker: Dr Markus Diehl (DESY)

Slides err.pdf

12:30 Lunch

16 Analysis Walk-Through I

Coffee will be available around 16:00 h.

Speaker: Ivo van Vulpen (NIKHEF)

Code_Answers_Thursday DESY_Answers_Thursday.C

Data_and_SkeletonCode DesyExercises.tgz

Slides 2013_03_21_DESY_HiggsExercises_Questions.pdf

Slides_with_Answers 2013_03_21_DESY_HiggsExercises_Answers_Thursday.pdf

Friday, 22 March

17 Analysis Walk-Through II

Coffee will be available around 10.30 h.

Speaker: Ivo van Vulpen (NIKHEF)

18 Closing words